Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 0.276192 0.323754 0.374250 0.431575 0.494570 0.561420 0.637459
2024-10-13 0.209274 0.273218 0.345793 0.433149 0.534348 0.646858 0.780350
2024-10-20 0.162279 0.235530 0.324107 0.436475 0.572649 0.729912 0.922811
2024-10-27 0.131616 0.211499 0.313961 0.450112 0.621513 0.825692 1.082810
2024-11-03 0.108439 0.192582 0.306730 0.464921 0.670800 0.922575 1.246586
2024-11-10 0.089834 0.176306 0.300151 0.478589 0.717827 1.017165 1.409581
2024-11-17 0.069610 0.153458 0.281090 0.472826 0.737955 1.077454 1.530779
2024-11-24 0.056533 0.139123 0.272025 0.479084 0.772966 1.156542 1.676410
2024-12-01 0.043479 0.121702 0.255705 0.472828 0.789506 1.210986 1.790854
2024-12-08 0.031404 0.102691 0.233948 0.455977 0.789322 1.242078 1.874590
2024-12-15 0.025699 0.095060 0.229948 0.465342 0.826021 1.322805 2.024094
2024-12-22 0.018997 0.082893 0.216143 0.457717 0.836960 1.367941 2.126596
2024-12-29 0.016435 0.080404 0.220109 0.479598 0.893147 1.477992 2.319716
2025-01-05 0.012356 0.072103 0.211752 0.480190 0.917020 1.543296 2.453581
2025-01-12 0.009288 0.065263 0.205198 0.483086 0.944116 1.613383 2.594850
2025-01-19 0.007513 0.061847 0.205240 0.497273 0.988926 1.709349 2.772841
2025-01-26 0.006117 0.059055 0.206171 0.512852 1.036086 1.809247 2.957339
2025-02-02 0.004905 0.056226 0.206572 0.527296 1.081620 1.907374 3.140499
2025-02-09 0.003206 0.049352 0.196317 0.521046 1.093251 1.955874 3.254740
2025-02-16 0.002295 0.045631 0.193077 0.527669 1.125784 2.035390 3.413249
2025-02-23 0.001349 0.039857 0.183423 0.520954 1.135689 2.081136 3.524291
2025-03-02 0.000595 0.032891 0.168815 0.502932 1.125518 2.096098 3.591221
2025-03-09 0.000373 0.030883 0.168002 0.512924 1.163128 2.183657 3.762873